Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.639039e-05 0.000066 0.000076 0.000087 0.000100 0.000113 0.000128
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.363345e-05 0.000056 0.000069 0.000086 0.000105 0.000126 0.000151
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.567611e-05 0.000049 0.000066 0.000086 0.000111 0.000139 0.000173
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.913929e-05 0.000044 0.000061 0.000085 0.000114 0.000148 0.000191
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.420536e-05 0.000039 0.000058 0.000084 0.000117 0.000156 0.000207
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.012015e-05 0.000035 0.000055 0.000082 0.000119 0.000163 0.000222
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.636000e-05 0.000031 0.000051 0.000080 0.000119 0.000168 0.000233
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.302859e-05 0.000026 0.000046 0.000076 0.000117 0.000170 0.000241
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.063933e-05 0.000023 0.000043 0.000074 0.000117 0.000174 0.000251
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.722392e-06 0.000023 0.000043 0.000076 0.000123 0.000186 0.000272
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.367818e-06 0.000021 0.000042 0.000076 0.000126 0.000193 0.000287
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.048046e-06 0.000021 0.000044 0.000080 0.000135 0.000209 0.000313
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.216563e-06 0.000018 0.000040 0.000078 0.000135 0.000214 0.000327
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.806728e-06 0.000016 0.000038 0.000076 0.000136 0.000220 0.000342
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.870694e-06 0.000015 0.000036 0.000076 0.000139 0.000230 0.000362
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.979395e-06 0.000013 0.000034 0.000075 0.000141 0.000237 0.000378
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.292838e-06 0.000011 0.000032 0.000074 0.000143 0.000244 0.000395
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.718228e-06 0.000010 0.000031 0.000072 0.000144 0.000250 0.000411
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.196442e-06 0.000009 0.000028 0.000070 0.000143 0.000253 0.000422
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 7.699767e-07 0.000007 0.000026 0.000067 0.000140 0.000254 0.000430
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 5.056326e-07 0.000006 0.000024 0.000065 0.000140 0.000257 0.000441
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 4.263201e-07 0.000006 0.000024 0.000067 0.000146 0.000272 0.000469
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 3.030420e-07 0.000005 0.000023 0.000067 0.000149 0.000280 0.000488